Israel vs Italy: prediction & betting odds 8 September 2025

The Matchday 6 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Israel and Italy will take place on September 8 at the Nagyerdei Stadium in Debrecen, Hungary. Israel vs. Italy: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Israel

Ran Ben-Shimon's team thrashed Moldova 4-0 away in their last outing. This victory marked their third in the current qualifying cycle (1 loss), with the team scoring even in the match they lost. Furthermore, Israel's scoring streak in the World Cup qualifiers has reached eight matches. In Group I standings, Israel is in 2nd place, but they are third in the group in terms of goals conceded (6).

• Both teams scored in 7 of Israel's last 8 World Cup qualifying matches.
• At home, the team has not lost in 5 of their last 6 World Cup qualifying games (4 wins, 1 draw).
• At least three goals have been scored in Israel's last 5 home matches in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Israel (4-4-2)

Daniel Peretz – Stav Lemkin, Roy Revivo, Idan Nachmias, Eli Dasa – Dor Peretz, Oscar Gloukh, Eliel Peretz, Dan Biton – Tai Baribo, Manor Solomon.

Italy

In Gennaro Gattuso's debut match as head coach, his team crushed Estonia 5-0. After a 4-match winless streak in World Cup qualifiers (2 draws, 2 losses), the team has won two consecutive matches without conceding a goal. Moreover, Italy has kept clean sheets in 9 of their last 13 World Cup qualifying games. In Group I standings, Italy is in 3rd place with 6 points.

• Italy has not lost in 11 of their last 13 World Cup qualifying matches (6 wins, 5 draws).
• In 5 of their last 7 away World Cup qualifying matches, the team has kept a clean sheet.
• The team has not scored more than one goal in 6 of their last 8 away matches in this tournament.

Predicted lineup for Italy (4-4-2)

Gianluigi Donnarumma – Alessandro Bastoni, Riccardo Calafiori, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Federico Dimarco – Nicolo Barella, Matteo Politano, Sandro Tonali, Mattia Zaccagni – Moise Kean, Matteo Retegui.

Forwards Gianluca Scamacca and Mattia Zaccagni are injured.

Referee:

Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Matches – 18 (International matches, 2024/25–2025/26);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 78;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.3;

Red cards shown – 1;

Average fouls per match – 26;

Penalties – 17%.

Israel vs. Italy: Match Prediction

Italy has secured two consecutive clean-sheet victories, but their opponents were the weakest teams in Group I. Facing Israel will be more challenging for Gennaro Gattuso's side unless the new coach has quickly taught Italy to play away from home. The team has won only two of their last six away World Cup qualifying matches (2 draws, 2 losses), both by a 2-0 scoreline. Notably, the second goals in both matches were scored in the final 10 minutes.

Israel has only lost to Norway in this qualifying cycle, but the Scandinavians started the tournament strongly. This defeat ended a 5-match unbeaten home run in World Cup qualifiers (4 wins, 1 draw). It's worth noting the scoring prowess of Ran Ben-Shimon's side: they are second in goals scored in the group, only behind Norway. Additionally, Israel has scored at least twice in seven World Cup qualifying matches. Their attacking flair should help them against a defensively solid Italy.

In the autumn of 2024, Israel lost 2-1 at home to Italy in the Nations League. I believe Ran Ben-Shimon's team will cover the handicap this time. My prediction: Israel with a handicap (+1.5)